The University of Michigan’s
73rd Annual Economic Outlook Conference
November 20–21, 2025
Rackham Building at the University of Michigan
915 East Washington Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
Thursday, November 20
8:15am | Registration |
8:30am | Continental Breakfast |
9:15am |
Welcome |
John Leahy, Chair, Department of Economics | |
Session I |
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Presiding: John Leahy, Chair, Department of Economics | |
The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2026–2027 | |
Daniil Manaenkov, U.S. Forecast Lead, RSQE | |
Consumer Sentiment in a Year of Change | |
Joanne Hsu, Director, University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers | |
The State of the US Consumer: Evidence from Numerator Data | |
Leo Feler, Chief Economist, Numerator | |
12:00pm | Lunch |
Session II |
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Presiding: Michael McWilliams, Senior Economist, RSQE | |
1:15pm | Afternoon Panel I |
Trade & Tariffs: Where Are We Now and What Should We Expect? | |
Linda Tesar, Alan V. Deardorff Collegiate Professor of Economics, University of Michigan | |
Aaron Flaaen, Principal Economist, Federal Reserve Board of Governors | |
Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Budget Lab at Yale, Yale University | |
3:15pm | Afternoon Panel II |
AI and the Labor Market—Artificial or For Real? | |
Betsey Stevenson, Professor of Public Policy and Economics, University of Michigan | |
Michael Horrigan, President, Upjohn Institute | |
Emily Rolen, Economist, Employment Projections Program and Office of Occupational Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics | |
Dinner at Zingerman's Greyline |
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5:30pm | Happy Hour Networking and Casual Dinner |
Friday, November 21
8:30am | Continental Breakfast |
Session III |
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Presiding: George Fulton, Director Emeritus, RSQE | |
9:00am | The Michigan Economic Outlook for 2026–2027 |
Gabriel Ehrlich, Director, RSQE | |
The Economic Outlook: A Perspective from the Midwest | |
Leslie McGranahan, Senior Vice President and Director of Regional Research and Engagement, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago | |
The Residential and Commercial Real Estate Markets in 2026 | |
David Berson, Chief US Economist, Cumberland Advisors | |
Michigan's Auto Industry: the Road Ahead | |
Glenn Stevens Jr; Executive Director, MichAuto; Vice President of Automotive and Innovation, Detroit Regional Chamber | |
12:30pm | Lunch |