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Program and Presentations

The University of Michigan’s

73rd Annual Economic Outlook Conference

November 20–21, 2025

Rackham Building at the University of Michigan
915 East Washington Street
Ann Arbor, MI 48109

Thursday, November 20

8:15am   Registration
   
8:30am Continental Breakfast
   
9:15am
Welcome
  John Leahy, Chair, Department of Economics
 

Session I

  Presiding: John Leahy, Chair, Department of Economics
   
  The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2026–2027
  Daniil Manaenkov, U.S. Forecast Lead, RSQE
   
  Consumer Sentiment in a Year of Change
  Joanne Hsu, Director, University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers
   
  The State of the US Consumer: Evidence from Numerator Data
  Leo Feler, Chief Economist, Numerator
   
12:00pm Lunch
   

Session II

  Presiding: Michael McWilliams, Senior Economist, RSQE
   
1:15pm Afternoon Panel I
  Trade & Tariffs: Where Are We Now and What Should We Expect?
  Linda Tesar, Alan V. Deardorff Collegiate Professor of Economics, University of Michigan
  Aaron Flaaen, Principal Economist, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
  Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Budget Lab at Yale, Yale University
   
3:15pm Afternoon Panel II
  AI and the Labor Market—Artificial or For Real?
  Betsey Stevenson, Professor of Public Policy and Economics, University of Michigan
  Michael Horrigan, President, Upjohn Institute
  Emily Rolen, Economist, Employment Projections Program and Office of Occupational Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
   

Dinner at Zingerman's Greyline

5:30pm Happy Hour Networking and Casual Dinner

Friday, November 21

8:30am Continental Breakfast
 

Session III

  Presiding: George Fulton, Director Emeritus, RSQE
   
9:00am The Michigan Economic Outlook for 2026–2027
  Gabriel Ehrlich, Director, RSQE
   
  The Economic Outlook: A Perspective from the Midwest
  Leslie McGranahan, Senior Vice President and Director of Regional Research and Engagement, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
   
  The Residential and Commercial Real Estate Markets in 2026
  David Berson, Chief US Economist, Cumberland Advisors
   
  Michigan's Auto Industry: the Road Ahead
  Glenn Stevens Jr; Executive Director, MichAuto; Vice President of Automotive and Innovation, Detroit Regional Chamber 
   
12:30pm Lunch

 

Thank you to our 2025 Sponsors