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Time-Varying Risk Premia and Heterogeneous Labor Market Dynamics

Dimitris Papanikolaou, Northwestern University
Tuesday, October 28, 2025
11:30 AM-12:50 PM
201 Lorch Hall Map
Using U.S. administrative data on worker earnings, we show that increases in risk premia lead to lower labor earnings, particularly for lower-paid workers. These declines are primarily driven by job separations. We build an equilibrium model of labor market search that quantitatively replicates the observed heterogeneity in labor market dynamics across worker earnings levels. Our findings underscore the role of time-varying risk premia as a key driver of labor market fluctuations and highlight the importance of both the job creation and the job destruction margins in understanding the heterogeneity in worker outcomes over the business cycle.
Building: Lorch Hall
Website:
Event Type: Workshop / Seminar
Tags: Economics, Macroeconomics, seminar
Source: Happening @ Michigan from Department of Economics, Michael Beauregard Seminar in Macroeconomics, Department of Economics Seminars