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Nonlinear Micro Income Processes with Macro Shocks, joint with Martin Almuzara, Manuel Arellano, and Richard Blundell

Stephane Bonhomme, University of Chicago
Thursday, October 16, 2025
2:30-3:50 PM
301 Lorch Hall Map
We propose a nonlinear framework to study the dynamic transmission of aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks to household income that exploits both macro and micro data. Combining macro time series for the U.S. and a time series of household panels from the PSID, we find that business-cycle fluctuations modulate the persistence of heterogeneous individual histories and the risk faced by households. We document how aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks propagate over time for households in dif- ferent macro and micro states. Lastly, we quantify the welfare cost of aggregate and idiosyncratic risk.
Building: Lorch Hall
Website:
Event Type: Workshop / Seminar
Tags: Econometrics, Economics, Labor, seminar
Source: Happening @ Michigan from Department of Economics, Econometrics, ISR-Zwerdling Seminar in Labor Economics